No global warming for half the satellite record

Source: Lord Monckton Foundation

by Christopher Monckton

No global warming for half the satellite record

According to the RSS satellite data, since September 1996 there has been no global warming for 210 months (17 years 6 months). NOAA?s 2008 State of the Climate report said 15+ years without warming would show a discrepancy between prediction and observation. There has been no warming in central England for 25 years.Monckton chart

The Lord Monckton Foundation?s monthly Global Warming Projection Index number for March 2014 is 0.14 Cº. That is how much the IPCC?s latest central projection of global warming over the 9 years 2 months January 2005 to February 2014 has overshot the observed temperature trend.

  • If that 110-month IPCC overshoot were to continue for 100 years, the IPCC?s prediction would exceed the measured trend by almost 1.5 Cº. Though the IPCC projects that the world should have warmed by 0.12 Cº (1.33 Cº/century) since 2005, the mean of the RSS and UAH satellite datasets shows cooling of 0.01 Cº (0.15 Cº/century). The predicted and actual trends continue visibly to diverge.
  • The trend in CO2 concentration at Mauna Loa shows a rise of 18 ?atm since January 2005, equivalent to 199 ?atm/century. On its own, this CO2 increase should have caused a radiative forcing of 0.25 Watts per square meter, or 0.35 W m?2 after including the influence of all other greenhouse gases. Even without temperature feedbacks, according to the IPCC?s methods this forcing should have caused 0.1 Cº warming. Adding in the IPCC?s temperature estimates of temperature feedbacks and of previously-committed global warming should have caused up to 0.3 Cº warming since January 2005. None has occurred.

Lord Monckton said: ?The entire monthly satellite temperature record since January  1979 is 422 months long. For almost the entire second half of the record ? 210 months ? there has been no global warming.?

Lord Monckton

Lord Monckton