Archive for December, 2013

China’s coal use forecast to surge

Monday, December 23rd, 2013

Source: Asia Timeschinese coal miners

By Michael Lelyveld 

China’s coal use will rise sharply by the end of the decade despite government plans to limit consumption, the country’s mine owners say.

Last month, the China National Coal Association (CNCA) forecast that consumption of the high-polluting fuel will reach 4.8 billion tonnes by 2020, the official Xinhua news agency reported. That would be an increase of more than 36% over 2012 levels, based on figures cited by the industry group.

Last year, China produced 3.65 billion tonnes of coal and consumed 3.52 billion tonnes, CNCA said.

China already burns more coal than the rest of the world combined, according to the BP Statistical Review of World Energy. But if the industry’s forecast comes true, China would add another 1.28 billion tonnes annually, or about 60% more than total US coal consumption recorded by the Department of Energy last year.  (more…)

Modeling Oceanic Carbon Uptake and Storage

Friday, December 20th, 2013

Source:  CO2 Sciencebubbles sea water

Reference
Long, M.C., Lindsay, K., Peacock, S., Moore, J.K. and Doney, S.C. 2013. Twentieth-century oceanic carbon uptake and storage in CESM1(BGC). Journal of Climate 26: 6775-6800.

Background
The authors indicate that over the last two centuries the world’s oceans have absorbed 25-30% of the total amount of CO2 emitted to the atmosphere by fossil-fuel burning, cement production and land-use changes, citing Sabine et al. (2004) and Le Quere et al. (2009); and they say that this oceanic carbon sink has partially mitigated the CO2-induced warming of the globe by slowing the rate-of-rise in the air’s CO2 content. Hence, they state that “mechanistic representation of oceanic carbon uptake and storage is essential to robust climate prediction.” (more…)

The Medieval and Roman Warm Periods in the Western Swiss Alps

Friday, December 20th, 2013

Source:  CO2 Science

Leclanche Cave

Leclanche Cave

Reference
Luetscher, M., Borreguero, M., Moseley,G.E., Spotl, C. and Edwards, R.L. 2013. Alpine permafrost thawing during the Medieval Warm Period identified from cryogenic cave carbonates. The Cryosphere 7: 1073-1081.

Background
The authors write that a new class of carbonate deposits – coarse cryogenic cave carbonates (CCCcoarse) – “has recently emerged as the most reliable indicator of (palaeo)glacial processes which can also be dated by U-series methods (Zaket al. 2004, 2008, 2012).” And they say that their paper “extends for the first time the record of CCCcoarse into the Holocene using samples from a partly deglaciated alpine cave [Leclanche Cave (46°20’42″N, 7°15’47″E] located in the present-day permafrost zone” of the Sanetsch area of the western Swiss Alps, as described by Borreguero et al. (2009). (more…)

Juvenile Barnacles in a Significantly Warmed and Acidified Ocean

Friday, December 20th, 2013

Source:  CO2 Science barnicles

Reference
Pansch, C., Nasrolahi, A., Appelhans, Y.S. and Wahl, M. 2013. Tolerance of juvenile barnacles (Amphibalanus improvisus) to warming and elevated pCO2Marine Biology 160: 2023-2035.

Background
The authors say that Kiel Fjord in the western Baltic Sea “is characterized by strong fluctuations in water pCO2 and pH,” and that annual mean pCO2 values of about 700 µatm can be measured there today, “with occasional pCO2 peaks of up to ~2,300 µatm (Thomsen et al., 2010).” And they therefore wondered how juvenile barnacles (Amphibalanus improvisus) would fare there in the future, as the air’s CO2 content continues to rise and if temperatures rise along with it. (more…)

Boreal Wildfires in a Warming World

Friday, December 20th, 2013

Source:  CO2 Sciencewildfires - boreal

In a paper recently published in the journal New Phytologist, Girardin et al. (2013) write that many people have supposed – think Al Gore, for one – that “global wildfire activity resulting from human-caused climatic change is a threat to communities living at wildland-urban interfaces world-wide and to the equilibrium of the global carbon cycle.” But is this really the case?

Implying that it might not be, the eight researchers note that “broadleaf deciduous stands are characterized by higher leaf moisture loading and lower flammability and rate of wildfire ignition and initiation than needleleaf evergreen stands,” citing the work of Paatalo (1998), Campbell and Flannigan (2000) and Hely et al. (2001). And they therefore speculate that the introduction of broadleaf trees into dense needleleaf evergreen landscapes “could decrease the intensity and rate of spread of wildfires, improving suppression effectiveness, and reducing wildfire impacts,” citing the studies of Amiro et al. (2001) and Hirsch et al. (2004). But to be more confident about this line of reasoning, they proceeded to conduct their own study of the subject. (more…)

New Paper at SPPI: Plant Migration and Extinction

Friday, December 20th, 2013

Source:  SPPI  idso - migrating plants

One of the great horror stories associated with predictions of CO2-induced global warming is that the warming will be so fast and furious that many species of plants will not be able to migrate towards cooler regions – poleward in latitude, or upward in elevation – at rates that are rapid enough to avoid extinction. This claim may sound logical enough … but is it true?

 

Update on UK Parliament Investigation of IPCC

Thursday, December 19th, 2013

Source: No Frakking Consensus

donna

A UK House of Commons committee is examining the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Forty-two written submissions received by the committee have now been published online. See them here.

My own submission may be read online or viewed as a PDF. Additionally, I?ve produced a footnoted, hyper-linked version that directs readers to my source material.

This morning I was formally invited to appear before the committee in person to provide follow-up, oral evidence. Two dates, in late January and early February, have been suggested. Details to follow. (more…)

Global Warming: The scam that will not die

Wednesday, December 18th, 2013

Source: GOPUSA

Addicted to Global Warming

Addicted to Global Warming

OPINION

BY Wesley Pruden

We were all supposed to be dead by now, fried to a toasty potatolike chip. Or doomed to die with the polar bears. It was to be a soggy end for the most beautiful planet in the cosmos and for all the passengers riding on it. The global alarmists never quite got their story of fright and fear straight, whether by now we would be fried or frozen.

First they warned of global warming, and when they needed a new narrative “global warming” became “climate change.” They finally settled on something they could prove because the climate does, in fact, change. First it rains, and then the sun comes out. Then it rains again. Rain, sun, rain, sun, drip, drip and dry. The narrative is ever new. (more…)

16 Signs That ?Global Warming? Was A Lie And That We Have Now Entered A Period Of Global Cooling

Tuesday, December 17th, 2013

Source:  The Truthtemperature map

OPINION

Back in 2009, Al Gore boldly declared that ?the entire north polar ice cap during some of the summer months could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years.?

Well, it turns out that was a lie along with almost everything else that Al Gore has been peddling.  The truth is that the polar ice cap is actually growing.  It is about 50 percent larger than it was at this time last year.  And as you will read about below, a shocking UN report that was recently leaked shows that the planet has actually not been warming for the past 15 years.

So if you are breathlessly anticipating that ?global warming? will soon bring on the apocalypse, you can stop waiting.  On the other hand, there is rising concern about what ?global cooling? will soon do to the planet as we suffer through the beginning of the coldest winter in decades. (more…)

Over 2000 cold and snow records set in the USA this past week

Saturday, December 14th, 2013

Source: Watts Up

by

Compare to 98 high temperature records, and 141 high minimum temperature records

Quite an imbalance in weather records this week. Even the AGU fall meeting in San Francisco where the best and brightest global warming scientists were meeting was surrounded by record (such as 25F in San Jose Dec 9th) and near record setting low temperatures, though the irony was lost on many of them.

See the map:

CONUS_records_12-13-13

Source: NOAA National Weather Service and HamWeather records center

Low Temp: 606 + Low Max temp 1234 + Snowfall 385 = 2225

In other cold and snowy news, the Egyptian capital of Cairo sees snowfall for the first time in 112 YEARS

Full post here

Don?t Expect The Facts From Michael Brune

Friday, December 13th, 2013

Source: http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/12/11/dont-expect-the-facts-from-michael-brune/

By Paul Homewood

http://newsbusters.org/blogs/noel-sheppard/2013/12/11/morano-smacks-down-sierra-club-director-sierra-club-took-26-million-n

The Sierra Club?s Michael Brune was on CNN yesterday, in debate with Climate Depot?s Marc Morano.

Not for the first time, he came out with fact free claims about how extreme weather was on the increase. (more…)

December 2013 Archive of Scientific Literature Reviews

Thursday, December 12th, 2013

Source:  NIPCC  butterfly-8205

Climate Change Impacts on Wheat Production in Central Asia (3 Dec 2013)
A team of 20 researchers reports that “the overall simulated impact of climate change on wheat productivity in Central Asia is positive,” noting that “a warmer climate explains most of this positive impact” and that “CO2 fertilization adds to it”… Read More
The Strange “Global Warming” of the Antarctic Peninsula (3 Dec 2013)
There hasn’t been a heat wave there since the start of temperature measurements… Read More
The Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 Models (3 Dec 2013)
How accurately is it portrayed? Much less than desired, as the results of this study “suggest that caution should be exercised in interpreting climate projections in the Indian Ocean Dipole-affected regions”… Read More (more…)

Things More Worrisome than AGW: Solar Flares

Wednesday, December 11th, 2013

Source: SHTF

grid down city

grid down city

Scientists Warn of Worst Case Scenario: ?Solar Flares? Will Short Circuit Satellites, Power Grids, Ground Communication Equipment?

Researchers from the University of Colorado Boulder recently completed analyzing data from a Coronal Mass Ejection that took place in the summer of 2012. The CME, which was reportedly the most powerful electrical discharge ever recorded from the sun, narrowly missed earth. It was not ?earth directed,? meaning the electro-magnetic mass was ejected by the sun when it was facing away from our planet. However, had it occurred just a week prior, the highly charged particles would have struck earth and, according to CU-Boulder Professor Daniel Baker, would have led to nothing short of a technological disaster across the globe.

The CME itself was massive? and its speed was unprecedented, clocking in at 7 million miles per hour (more…)

Nobel winner declares boycott of top science journals

Tuesday, December 10th, 2013

Source: SPPI 

by Joe Bast

addicted to govt. funding

addicted to govt. funding

Randy Schekman says his lab will no longer send papers to Nature, Cell and Science as they distort scientific process.

http://www.theguardian.com/science/2013/dec/09/nobel-winner-boycott-science-journals

This article reveals that leading scientists know that the ?prestige? academic journals are biased in favor of flashy and politically correct research findings, even when such findings are frequently contradicted by subsequent research. This is important in the context of the global warming debate because Nature and Science have published the most alarmist and incredible junk on global warming and refuse to publish skeptics. (Full disclosure: Nature ran a negative editorial about us a few years back and a much better but still inaccurate feature story.) Claims of a ?scientific consensus? rely heavily on the assumption that expertise can be measured by how often a scientist appears in one of these journals. Now we know that?s a lie. (more…)

Congress should not move quickly to pass comprehensive climate change legislation

Tuesday, December 10th, 2013

Source: Deseret News [Utah]

OPINION

[SPPI Note:  Morriss misses the larger argument against CO2 mitigation efforts, that being that real-world observations and the progressing climate literature outside government funded labs evidence that climate models are wrong and the real, immediate threat could well be an inactive sun cooling the earth.  The SPPI analysis of potential “savings” from destructive mitigation regulations clearly shows not only the futility of such policy, but its dangers.  The specific dangers for Utah can be seen here.  Othere state profiles can be read here.]

Chip - state_by_state 4-13

by Andrew Morriss 

XIAN, China ? Congress should not waste time debating a comprehensive climate change legislation in the coming year.

First, the combination of the natural gas revolution created by fracking and the economic doldrums we are stuck in have already cut our emissions of greenhouse gases dramatically without Congress doing anything at all. If they did jump in, they?d be as likely to screw that up as make things better.

In addition, we should wait because the current proposals on how to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are all expensive and will be cheaper in the future as technologies improve.

Consider the change in cell phone technology and prices over the past 20 years. When the director of Wall Street wanted to emphasize Gordon Gecko?s power and wealth, he portrayed him holding a brick-size cell phone.

Today, even schoolchildren carry iPhones, which are orders of magnitude more powerful ? and much cheaper. That same innovative process will make both emissions reduction technology and mitigation efforts cheaper and better in the future.

The United States alone can do next to nothing about greenhouse gas emissions alone and we should not burden our economy to attempt to do so. China and India are growing so rapidly that their additional greenhouse gas emissions swamp any reductions possible in the U.S. today. For example, Chinese car ownership today on a per-capita basis is not even equal to U.S. car ownership in 1920. (more…)