Archive for November, 2011

Obama: “Reward our friends, punish our enemies.”

Sunday, November 13th, 2011

Source:  Daily Beast

by Peter Schweizer

When President-elect Obama came to Washington in late 2008, he was outspoken about the need for an economic stimulus to revive a struggling economy. He wanted billions of dollars spent on “shovel-ready projects” to build roads; billions more for developing alternative-energy projects; and additional billions for expanding broadband Internet access and creating a “smart grid” for energy consumption. After he was sworn in as president, he proclaimed that taxpayer money would assuredly not be doled out to political friends. “Decisions about how Recovery Act dollars are spent will be based on the merits,” he said, referring to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009. “Let me repeat that: decisions about how recovery money will be spent will be based on the merits. They will not be made as a way of doing favors for lobbyists.”

Really? (more…)

Mann’s Non-reproducible Statistics

Saturday, November 12th, 2011

Source: Marc Morano

I just discovered a very interesting statistics that you might highlight on your web site. I downloaded all the publications from Mann from his own website, and although all his papers are based on statistics, that nobody can reproduce, he published only a SINGLE paper in journals dedicated to statistics. And that paper was criticism of people showing that his statistics is wrong. So makes you wonder, why is he so shy of publishing statistic based papers in journals that are  peer reviewed by other statisticians. You and I know why, but it might be interesting to highlight that to the world community via your blog site.

With kind regards,

Darko Butina

 

Things More Worrisome than AGW: OWS Incidents Growing

Friday, November 11th, 2011

Source:  Big Government

***Updated  11/9/2011– Today we hit incident 189

One of the secret weapons the corrupt mainstream media uses in their never-ending quest to Palace Guard for the left is context. For example, when it came to the Tea Party, the MSM was notorious for amplifying  a single incident (that was usually a lie) and using it to attempt to smear and define an entire movement. This is what you do when you want to quickly take out a political enemy. (more…)

China: Climate issues NOT settled

Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

Source:  CO2 Science

 

Global Warming: The View from China

“Global climate change,” in the words of Fang et al. (2011), “is one of the biggest challenges to human society in the 21st century.” And noting that “carbon emissions from fossil fuel combustion and land use change are considered the main factors causing global warming,” plus the fact that “carbon emissions affect social and economic development,” they correctly state that “climate change has been shifted from an academic topic to an international political, economic, and diplomatic issue.” (more…)

Welcome to the Land of Stupid

Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

Source:  Joanne Nova

And so it came to pass that a small band of the selfish or deluded came to steal the blood, sweat and toil of the many.

They lied, broke solemn promises, failed to provide evidence, and displayed a singular lack of good-manners. They viciously insulted anyone who disagreed, they hid the models the public were forced to pay for, they gave patrons highly paid jobs to advertize their scheme. They spoke arrant nonsense as if it were the bleeding obvious: telling us that we will grow rich if we use energy that costs more; that coal miners are to blame for heavy rain; that more taxes will bring investors; that we’ll lose jobs if we don’t pay more than we need to for energy; or that 6.98 billion people will follow the 0.02 billion who lead us on the path to the Land of Stupid. They made prophesies that failed time after time, yet speak on, as if  only they have the vision to guide us. (more…)

A Dark Day in Australia

Tuesday, November 8th, 2011

Source:  No Frakking Consensus

November 8, 2011

In my corner of the world it’s the 8th of November, 2011. On this date across the ocean in Australia something terrible happened (it’s already November 9th there now).

A minority government led by Julia Gillard passed 18 pieces of legislation that, collectively, ushered in a brand new, nationwide carbon tax. This is the same Gillard who, on the eve of a national election in 2010 made a clear, unequivocal statement:

I rule out a carbon tax. [backup link here] (more…)

$4-million to WWF to Keep Ice from Melting?

Monday, November 7th, 2011

Source:  Tom Nelson 

As polar bears allegedly face CO2-induced extinction, WWF promotes “sustainable” ways to fire high-powered bullets through the bears’ vital organs

Coca-Cola starts $4M campaign for its iconic polar bears – Environment – MiamiHerald.com

With the change, the company is hoping to spark a fund-raising campaign that will add $4 million to a World Wildlife Fund effort to give the animals, which some scientists predict may be the first major species to go extinct because of climate change, a hedge against warming temperatures and melting ice.

I mentioned this to a friend the other night, and she snorted in derision. “What do they think they can do about melting ice?” she demanded. “What good will $4 million do?”

In other words, a mere drop in the can? (more…)

Two New Papers vs. BEST

Monday, November 7th, 2011

Source:  William Briggs

Horst Lüdecke is a Professor of Physiker in EIKE, European Institute for Climate and Energy,
Heidelberg; Dr. Link is a physicist with EIKE; Prof. Dr. Friedrich-Karl Ewert is a geologist and member of EIKE.

1. General

Our papers [1; here] , hereafter LU, and [2; here], hereafter LL, were published almost parallel to the BEST curve of global temperature. The basic intentions of all of them are the same—to document reliably the surface temperature of the Earth from the beginning of the 19th century until the present.

LU analyzes the period of 2000 years BP until the present whereas LL examines the 20th century only. The BEST curves covers the period of 1800-2010. Quite different methods are used. BEST as a global temperature curve is a patchwork of more than 35,000 mostly short temperature series. The result is a global temperature run established by special algorithms. LU analyzes five of the longest available instrumental series and two proxies as a stalagmite and a tree ring stack. LL examines 2249 exclusively unadjusted local temperature surface records. Further, both LU and LL use a new method [3], [4] as a combination of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), synthetic records, and Monte-Carlo simulation. With it, the exceedance probability of the naturality of an observed temperature change is evaluated. Finally, LL derives the basic overall probability that all in all the global warming of the 20th century was a natural 100-year fluctuation. The instrumental records applied by LU and LL are monthly means because the DFA requires a minimum of about 600 data points. (more…)

BEST Data “Quality” Problems

Sunday, November 6th, 2011

Source:  Climate Audit

CA reader Gary Wescom writes about more data quality problems with the Berkeley temperature study – see here.

In a surprising number of records, the “seasonally adjusted” station data in the Berekely archive contains wildly incorrect data. Gary shows a number of cases, one of which, Longmont 2ESE, outside the nest of climate scientists in Boulder CO, is said to have temperatures below minus 50 deg C in the late fall as shown below: (more…)

Things More Worrisome than AGW: Army PC

Saturday, November 5th, 2011

Source:  Patriot Update

Obama Forces the Army to Undergo Sensitivity Training about Islamic Jihad

In this new era of political correctness,the U.S. Army has published a special handbook for soldiers that appears to justify Islamic jihad by describing it as the “communal military defense of Islam and Muslims when they are threatened or under attack.”

Because radical Muslim groups consider Islam to be perpetually under moral,spiritual,economic,political and military attack by the “secular west” they consider military jihad a “constant necessity” and use it as a “rallying cry to resist and attack all this is un-Islamic,” according to the new Army manual. (more…)

Why I Remain a Global-Warming Skeptic

Friday, November 4th, 2011

Source:  WSJ

By FRED SINGER

Searching for scientific truth in the realm of climate

Last month the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature Project released the findings of its extensive study on global land temperatures over the past century. Physics professor Richard Muller, who led the study, heralded the findings with a number of controversial statements in the press, including an op-ed in this newspaper titled “The Case Against Global-Warming Skepticism.” And yet Mr. Muller remains a true skeptic—a searcher for scientific truth. I congratulate Mr. Muller and his Berkeley Earth team for undertaking this difficult task in the realm of climate.

The Berkeley study reported a warming trend of about 1º Celsius since 1950, even greater than the warming reported by the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). I disagree with this result, which perhaps makes me a little more of a skeptic than Mr. Muller. (more…)

Two new papers on surface temperatures

Thursday, November 3rd, 2011

Source:  Bishop Hill

Nov 3, 2011

Horst-Joachim Lüdecke (who is involved with EIKE, the German sceptic group) emails about two new papers he has on surface temperatures. He tells me that these contradict BEST.

The first is in the International Journal of Modern Physics and is entitled “How Natural is the Recent Centennial Warming? An Analysis of 2249 Surface Temperature Records“.

Abstract. We evaluate to what extent the temperature rise in the past 100 years was a trend or a natural fluctuation and analyze 2249 worldwide monthly temperature records from GISS (NASA) with the 100-year period covering 1906-2005 and the two 50-year periods from 1906 to 1955 and 1956 to 2005. No global records are applied. The data document a strong urban heat island eff ect (UHI) and a warming with  increasing station elevation. For the period 1906-2005, we evaluate a global warming of 0.58°C as the mean for all records. This decreases to 0.41°C if restricted to stations with a population of less than 1000 and below 800 meter above sea level. About a quarter of all the records for the 100-year period show a fall in temperatures. Our hypothesis for the analysis is – as generally in the papers concerned with long-term persistence of temperature records – that the observed temperature records are a combination of long-term correlated records with an additional trend, which is caused for instance by anthropogenic CO2, the UHI or other forcings. We apply the detrended  fluctuation analysis (DFA) and evaluate Hurst exponents between 0.6 and 0.65 for the majority of stations, which is in excellent agreement with the literature and use a method only recently published, which is based on DFA, synthetic records and Monte Carlo simulation. As a result, the probabilities that the observed temperature series are natural have values roughly between 40% and 90%, depending on the stations characteristics and the periods considered. ‘Natural’ means that we do not have within a defi ned con fidence interval a defi nitely positive anthropogenic contribution and, therefore, only a marginal anthropogenic contribution can not be excluded. (more…)

Notes from the Santa Fe Conference

Thursday, November 3rd, 2011

Source: Climate, etc.

by Judith Curry

I am currently in Santa Fe, attending the Third Santa Fe Conference on Global and Regional Climate.

The conference web site has little information.   The conference agenda is posted [santa fe schedule].  The abstracts of the talks are presented [santa fe abstracts].  [Note:  I assembled the pdf of the abstracts from an emailed folder with the individual abstracts, many of which were pdfs.  The laborious task of integrating all this into a single file (and dealing with line breaks) was done at 10% of my bandwidth while listening to the talks.  Equations may be missing, etc. The abstracts were edited to delete email addresses.] (more…)

New Research Reveals IPCC In Bed With Green Lobbies

Thursday, November 3rd, 2011

Source:  The Global Warming Policy Foundation

CCNet – 3 November 2011

The Climate Policy Network

 New Research Reveals IPCC In Bed With Green Lobbies

A scathing new expose on the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — which sets the world’s agenda when it comes to the current state of the climate — claims that its reports have often been written by graduate students with little or no experience in their field of study and whose efforts normally might be barely enough to satisfy grad school requirements. –Perry Chiaramonte, Fox News, 2 November 2011 (more…)

Morano Updates the Muller/BEST Study Controversy

Wednesday, November 2nd, 2011

Source:  Climate Depot

For latest, go to www.ClimateDepot.com

Confused Richard Muller now claims: ‘I never said you shouldn’t be a skeptic. I never said that’ — Reality Check from his article: ‘Let me explain why you should not be a skeptic’

Muller did say, ‘you should not be a skeptic’ — and so he told an unambiguous falsehood to the interviewer

Warmist Muller: Scientists ‘Endorse Al Gore Even Though They Know What He’s Saying Is Exaggerated and Misleading’

‘He’ll (Gore) talk about polar bears dying even though we know they’re not dying’

Muller: Climategate a ‘scandal’, ‘terrible’, ‘shameful’ ‘Some people say that I proved there was no Climategate. No! The Climategate thing was a scandal’ (more…)