Archive for August, 2011

Gore: AGW Skeptics are like Racists

Monday, August 29th, 2011

One day climate change skeptics will be seen in the same negative light as racists, or so says former Vice President Al Gore.

In an interview with former advertising executive and Climate Reality Project collaborator Alex Bogusky broadcast on UStream on Friday, Gore explained that in order for climate change alarmists to succeed, they must ?win the conversation? against those who deny there is a crisis. (RELATED: Bill McKibben: Global warming to blame for Hurricane Irene) (more…)

If Global Warming Doesn?t Kill Us, ET Will

Monday, August 22nd, 2011

Source:  Red State

Have the Borg assimilated EPA?

Jon Huntsman tweeted yesterday:

To be clear. I believe in evolution and trust scientists on global warming. Call me crazy.

Um. These scientists you trust, some of them at least, are accused of data manipulation and standing the peer-review process on its head. Call me crazy, but I don?t trust them.

In related news, The Guardian brings us:

Aliens may destroy humanity to protect other civilisations, say scientists

The referenced scientists are a meteorologist and a geographer from Penn State and another researcher from NASA?s Planetary Science Division. Their paper (.pdf link) is a ?scenario analysis? of what might happen should the Earth experience an encounter with an Extra-Terrestrial Intelligence (ETI). Among their conclusions:

Another recommendation is that humanity should avoid giving off the appearance of being a rapidly expansive civilization. If an ETI perceives humanity as such, then it may be inclined to attempt a preemptive strike against us so as to prevent us from growing into a threat to the ETI or others in the galaxy. Similarly, ecosystem-valuing universalist ETI may observe humanity?s ecological destructive tendencies and wipe humanity out in order to preserve the Earth system as a whole. These scenarios give us reason to limit our growth and reduce our impact on global ecosystems. It would be particularly important for us to limit our emissions of greenhouse gases, since atmospheric composition can be observed from other planets. ?

Suppose we say that an alien civilization has been observing our planet?s atmosphere over the last 50 years. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased from 0.032% to 0.038% in that time; would a highly advanced alien intelligence see that as an existential threat to the Universe? (more…)

Backstory to the “fleeing species” claim

Monday, August 22nd, 2011

Source: No Frakking Consensus

photo from Chris D. Thomas' academic bio page

by Donna Laframboise

In early 2004 Nature, a respected science journal, ran a cover story titled Feeling the Heat: biodiversity losses due to global warming.  As one critic would laterobserve:

It is rare for a scientific paper to be the lead item on the evening news, or to fill the front pages of our national newspapers, but [that particular study]received exceptional worldwide media attention.

The lead author was named Chris D. Thomas. Now he?s back in the news ? this time for a paper published in Science whose very own press release begins:

Many different species of plants and animals have been moving higher in elevation and farther away from the equator to escape the Earth?s warming climate.

Once more, the media is all over the story ? and the headlines are nothing if not dramatic. The BBC declares that species are fleeing a warm climate faster than previously thoughtTime magazine tells us that climate change is turning plants and animals into refugees. CNN asserts that animals are being driven to higher ground by warmth. (Lots more news stories may be seen here.) (more…)

Pal Review in Climate Science

Monday, August 22nd, 2011

Source: SPPI

To the Editor of the Wall Street Journal   [partial published 11/19/11]

by Charles Battig, MD

The WSJ August 10, 2011 ?Mistakes in Scientific Studies Surge?   provides a sobering look behind the scenes of contemporary medical research.  Practicing physicians look to peer-reviewed articles appearing in renowned scientific journals such as Lancet to guide them in the latest, best-practice medical therapies. Patients are entitled to trust the judgments of their physicians; physicians are entitled to trust published clinical data.  When ?getting published? becomes an end in itself, the integrity of the scientific process risks being compromised, as this article so clearly documents.  Lancet editor Richard Horton?s quote ?the apparent rise in scientific fraud is a scar on the moral body of science?   is recognition of the results of such corrupting influences. (more…)

Is economic ?graceful decline? the true agenda of some warmists?

Sunday, August 21st, 2011

Source:  Whatsup

Guest commentary by Indur Goklany

Sometimes the true agenda is laid bare.

From, a piece on Bill McKibben, in which E&E News? Paul Fialka discusses his agenda, are these passages.

[My comments are in brackets. I have highlighted some passages.]

Many of the climate theories in [McKibben?s] book [“The End of Nature.”]? and the future career path of McKibben ? were shaped by James Hansen, who was then and is now the head of the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York. Starting in 1988, Hansen had begun to testify before Congress that greenhouse gas emissions had begun to change familiar weather patterns on the planet and, without action to limit them, the changes would become more obvious and dangerous in the 21st century.

As Hansen explained and as McKibben later found out, the people who were most vulnerable to the flooding, famine and drought and the spread of tropical diseases lived in developing countries. McKibben was interviewing people in the slums of Bangladesh in 2006 when he was hospitalized with dengue fever, which is still untreatable. As he watched others dying, he recalled in a later book: ?Something in me snapped. Nothing concrete had come from my work, or anyone else?s.?? (more…)

Al Gore’s Carney Show

Sunday, August 21st, 2011

Source:  National Post

by Rex Murphy

For those who have a wish to hear the grating sound of a man distempered and frustrated that the cause for which he has given at least a decade of his time, the “greatest moral challenge of our time,” is lost, I recommend listening to Al Gore as he was captured during an address at an Aspen global warming conference two weeks ago. It is a revelation.

Mr. Gore is not a happy Jeremiah. You hear him on the tape near rage, repeatedly shouting “bulls–t” over the arguments of his critics. (more…)

OPINION: Gov. Rick Perry and Agenda 21

Sunday, August 21st, 2011

Source:  SPPI Blog

by Dennis Ambler

In view of Perry’s current stance on AGW, is it a ruse to get things like this in the back door?


Rick Perry tied to Agenda 21, globalist policies | August Forecast & Review  16 August 2011- By Terri Hall

Rick Perry may be good at invoking states rights and prop­erty rights, while dis­avowing ?for­eign cred­i­tors,? but his actions as Texas? longest serving gov­ernor tell a dif­ferent story. Public pri­vate part­ner­ships (or P3s) are part and parcel of the United Nations? Agenda 21. Two of the pur­poses of Agenda 21 are to abolish pri­vate prop­erty and restrict mobility and P3s act as the vehicle to do it. Perry made P3s a cen­ter­piece of his trans­porta­tion policy since he stepped in as governor.

While Perry dis­tracted Texans and tea partiers with ?emer­gency? res­o­lu­tions on state sov­er­eignty during the 82nd leg­is­la­ture, P3s spread from trans­porta­tion projects to vir­tu­ally every other type of public infra­struc­ture in a bill, SB 1048, passed by the Texas leg­is­la­ture which he signed into law June 17.

Now all public infra­struc­ture, including public build­ings, schools, nursing homes, ports, mass transit, etc. can be auctioned-off to pri­vate inter­ests in long-term sweet­heart deals with tax­payer sub­si­dies and profit guar­an­tees using P3s. (more…)

David Suzuki insults, but won?t debate

Sunday, August 14th, 2011

Source: Financial Post

David Suzuki -- anti-science alarmist

By David R. Legates

As the climate scare fizzles, Canada?s celebrity environmentalist resorts to ad hominem attacks

[To see who is really being paid off:  and  ]

David Suzuki has never met, debated or even spoken with my colleague, scientist Willie Soon. But as more people dismiss Mr. Suzuki?s scare stories about global warming cataclysms, the more he has resorted to personal attacks against Mr. Soon and others who disagree with him.

Mr. Soon?s brilliant research into the sun?s role in climate change has helped make millions aware that carbon dioxide?s influence is far less than Mr. Suzuki wants them to think. In a recent column picked up by media outlets around North America, including Huffington Post, Mr. Suzuki attacked Mr. Soon, my fellow scientist, mostly by recycling a Greenpeace ?investigation? that is itself nothing more than a rehash of tiresome (and libelous) misstatements, red herrings and outright lies. It?s time to set the record straight. (more…)

The Current Wisdom: The Lack of Recent Warming and the State of Peer Review

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source:  CATO

by Dr. Pat Michaels

Boston University’s Robert Kaufmann and colleagues recently published a paper in theProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences examining the causes of the recent dearth of “global warming.” They concluded that it’s simply natural variability, augmented by increasing sulfate emissions from dramatically growing coal consumption by China.

Of course, it is the latter conclusion that has drawn all the attention, for it allows the possibility that greenhouse gases are continuing to impart an as-expected warming influence on the global climate. And then once China gets its air pollution under control (and we are talking about true air pollution here, i.e., not carbon dioxide), global temperatures will rise rapidly. Thus the dream of alarming climate change lives. (more…)

Tree Rings Measure What?

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source:  Australian climate madness

Bigger Tree Rings Soon?

No wonder they had to ?hide the decline?. It appears that trees are a proxy for just about everything, except ancient temperatures. Rings from a particular tree are more likely to tell you whether:

  1. it was wetter there;
  2. there was more CO2 in the atmosphere;
  3. the local bear population decided to use it as a shithouse.

And now it appears that trees actually grow less in warmer temperatures:

They found that a 2C (3.6F) increase resulted in the average maximum height of trees shrinking by 11%, while a 2C decrease in the nation?s average temperature saw a 13% increase in the predicted maximum height of trees.(source)

So I think we can consign tree rings and the whole dodgy discipline of dendrochronology to the dustbin of climatological history.

Southern Hemisphere Continues To Cool: Antarctica 20 Degrees Below Normal

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source:  C3 Headlines

Southern Hemisphere zero global warmingRead here. As noted before, the Southern Hemisphere has seemingly been in a cooling phase that is bringing awful winter weather to many countries. (click on image to enlarge)

The frigid winter temperatures also include the polar area of Antarctica. Temps there are well below normal.

Previous global-cooling postings.

Prediction That Global Warming Causes More Storms Fails Empirical Testing – IPCC Climate Models Wrong

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source:  C3 Headlines

Read here. The IPCC’s climate models and its “consensus” of 97% of climate scientists have proven to be robustly wrong again. The prediction that global warming will cause an increase of storms with greater frequency does not hold up to empirical-based scrutiny.

Alexander et al. published a peer-reviewed study that found storms in the southeast region of Australia showing a significant reduction since the late 19th century.

…analyzed storminess across the whole of southeast (SE) Australia using extreme (standardized seasonal 95th and 99th percentiles) geostrophic winds deduced from eight widespread stations possessing sub-daily atmospheric pressure observations dating back to the late 19th century…The four researchers report that their results “show strong evidence for a significant reduction in intense wind events across SE Australia over the past century.” More specifically, they say that “in nearly all regions and seasons, linear trends estimated for both storm indices over the period analyzed show a decrease,” while “in terms of the regional average series,” they say that “all seasons show statistically significant declines in both storm indices, with the largest reductions in storminess in autumn and winter.” [Lisa V. Alexander, Xiaolan L. Wang, Hui Wan, Blair Trewin 2011: Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal]

Surging Retractions in Scientific Publishing

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source: Roger Pielke, Jr.

The Wall Street Journal reports that retractions of scientific papers have surged in recent years, with the top 3 journals issuing retractions being PNAS, Science and Nature.  The graph above shows the increase in the rate of retracted papers.

Pharmalot provides a summary:

[T]here were just 22 retraction notices that appeared in journals 10 years ago, but 139 were published in 2006 and by last year, the number reached 339. Through July of this year, there were a total 210 retractions, according to Thomson Reuters Web of Science, which maintains an index of 11,600 peer-reviewed journals.

Meanwhile, retractions related to fraud rose more than sevenfold between 2004 and 2009, exceeding a twofold rise traced to mistakes, according to an analysis published in the Journal of Medical Ethics. After studying 742 papers that were withdrawn from 2000 to 2010, the analysis found that 73.5 percent were retracted simply for error, but 26.6 percent were retracted for fraud. Ominously, 31.8 percent of retracted papers were not noted as retracted (read the abstract).

The conclusion? Either there is more fraud or more policing? Ivan Oransky, the executive editor of Reuters Health and a co-founder of the Retraction Watch blog that began recently in response to the spate of retractions, writes us that the simple use of eyeballs and software that can detect plagiarism has made it possible to root out bad papers.

He also notes, however, that there are more journals, which explains why there are more papers, in general, being published. ?So the question is whether there have been more retractions per paper published,? Oransky writes, and then points to this chart to note that were, indeed, many more.

?That?s really no surprise, given the increasing numbers of eyeballs on studies, and the introduction of plagiarism detection software. It?s unclear whether the actual amount of misconduct and legitimate error has grown; it may just be that we?re picking up on more of it,? he continues. ?What makes it difficult to tell is a problem we often see at Retraction Watch: Opaque and unhelpful retraction notices saying only ?this study was withdrawn by the authors.? How does that make for transparent science? We think journals can do a lot better, by demanding that authors and institutions come clean about what went wrong.?

And why is there more fraud? As the Wall Street Journal notes, there is a lot to be gained – by both researchers and journal editors – to publish influential papers. ?The stakes are so high,? The Lancet editor Richard Horton tells the Journal. ?A single paper in Lancet and you get your chair and you get your money. It?s your passport to success.?

The Retraction Watch website has recently celebrated its one-year anniversary.  One thing you’ll notice is that most of the attention to retractions occurs in the medical sciences. Here is a leading question — is that because that area of research is more subject to error or fraud?


boballab said… 1

It is because there is no big political movement behind it to shield them when they do bad science, for example like in climate science.

There is no medical version of the IPCC or EPA or NGO’s in Medical Science. No Pachuri running around branding scientists that spot errors of practicing “voodoo science”. Basically there is no political gain to had in defending bad medical papers.

Lights Out!

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Source:  Wattsup

The Empire Strikes Out

Willis Eschenbach

I guess having electricity when you need it is sooooo last century ? UK families will have to get used to ?only using power when it was available?. That constant electricity at home was dangerous anyhow, the unending hum of the wires can drive a man so insane that the only way to cure him is to make him head of the National Grid ?

Spencer on ocean heat

Thursday, August 11th, 2011

Is Gore?s Missing Heat Really Hiding in the Deep Ocean?

August 7th, 2011 by Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.

NOTE: For those who are offended by my bringing up Al Gore in this post (but are apparently not offended by Gore falsely accusing scientists like me of being ?global warming deniers?), I suggest you just focus on the evidence I present. You are invited to offer an alternative explanation for the evidence, but I will not allow you to divert attention from it through irrelevant ?copy and paste? factoids you have gathered from other scientific publications. If you persist, I will be forced to adopt the RealClimate tactic of deleting comments, which so far I have been able to avoid on this blog. We?ll just call it ?fighting fire with fire?.

As I and others have pointed out, the 20th Century runs of the IPCC climate models have, in general, created more virtual warming in the last 50 years than the real climate system has warmed.

That statement is somewhat arguable, though, since the modelers can run a number of realizations, each with its own ?natural? year-to-year internal climate variability, and get different temperature trends for any given 50-year period. (more…)